Chinese Nuclear Bomber - At the end of last week, China's Global Times reported on the upcoming test flight of the strategically important aircraft. This fueled predictions that the country's first stealth bomber, known as the Xian H-20, would be unveiled soon. If confirmed, the H-20 would be the first publicly announced non-US stealth bomber to ever fly and could usher in a new era of strategic air competition.
The only operational stealth bomber in the world today is the American Northrop Grumman B-2 Spirit, which first flew in 1989 and entered operational service in 1997. Unlike any other operational stealth platform in the world today, the B-flying wing design 2 is effective in limiting detection from high-frequency and low-frequency radar bands. As a result, the slightly outdated and significantly larger B-2 Spirit is often more difficult to detect and track than America's most modern stealth fighter, the F-35.
Chinese Nuclear Bomber
Stealth fighters such as the F-35, F-22, J-20 or Su-57 are limited by the physical performance requirements of aerobatic fighters, which require the inclusion of design elements such as vertical tail surfaces that can make them detectable at low altitudes. frequency radar array. However, this array lacks the image fidelity required for true targeting. In other words, when the invisible hunter is all around you
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Today, more than two decades of American monopoly on high payload, deep penetration stealth bomber technology may be coming to an end. But with America's next-generation stealth bomber, the Northrop Grumman B-21 Raider, now in the next stage of development, will China's H-20 be its next-generation counterpart, or
Rumors that China was developing a stealth bomber started surfacing in the early 2000s. This was often linked to reports that Chinese officials had gained access to the wreckage of a US F-117 Nighthawk that was shot down over Yugoslavia in 1999. For much of the next decade, rumors persisted that China was working to develop its own Nighthawk. . — in other words, a stealth attack aircraft that uses a similar angular design to Lockheed's F-117.
In 2005, Noshir Gowadia, a Northrop Grumman design engineer who helped develop the B-2 Spirit's propulsion system, was arrested and accused of selling information about the bomber program to the Chinese government. Gowadia would eventually be convicted and sentenced to 32 years in prison for violating the Arms Export Control Act.
In 2009, details began surfacing about China's burgeoning stealth fighter program. This program will eventually result in the introduction of the Chengdu J-20 Mighty Dragon, which entered service in 2017. With expectations increasing that China will skip elements of the initial stealth design found in the F-117 and focus instead on a fighter comparable to it. The new US F-22, rumors of a special-attack Nighthawk clone faded in favor of a new concern: a Chinese stealth bomber similar to America's B-2.
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The rumors gained a bit more credibility in 2013 when German writer and Chinese aviation expert Andreas Rupprecht published renders and model drawings showing the basic design of China's upcoming stealth bomber. The twin-engine aircraft appears to blur the line between stealth fighters and bombers somewhat, sharing several design characteristics with Northrop's B-2 Spirit and its latest F-22 competitor, known as the YF-23.
This suggests that the design shown is not for a heavy lift platform like the B-2, but part of another Chinese stealth development effort to field medium-range fighter bombers. Nonetheless, it is clear that China is incorporating stealth design elements into its next-generation bomber.
As some media outlets also noted at the time, the wing shape of China's theoretical stealth bomber looked similar to artist renderings of an advanced Russian long-range bomber program, known as the PAK DA, which had been in development since 2009.
In July 2014, the veil began to lift over China's efforts to develop a stealth bomber, with a full-page article published in the state-run China Daily newspaper highlighting China's future military modernization developments. Among these efforts is the development of an "intercontinental strategic bomber capable of penetrating enemy air defenses".
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The article highlighted the need for bombers that could carry 10 tons of ordnance for at least 8,000 km (4,970 mi) without refueling. This would make US military installations on Guam easy to reach without the need to refuel in the air.
In 2015, artist renderings of what is believed to be China's second stealth bomber program entered Western media reports. These images closely resemble the model and images from 2013, suggesting that China's stealth bomber development is steadily progressing.
In 2016, the Commander-in-Chief of the Chinese People's Liberation Army Air Force General Ma Xiaotian officially announced the country's efforts to develop a new generation of long-range bombers. According to a 2021 assessment by the Office of the Ministry of Defense, these efforts are likely linked to China's development of the stealth bomber, often referred to as the H-20.
The same assessment also indicated that China had been successful in trying to achieve the goals outlined in a 2014 China Daily column, which stated that the new bomber would most likely employ fifth-generation (stealth) technology, which has a range of "at least 8,500 km". (5,281 miles), a payload capacity of "at least 10 metric tons", and the ability to deliver a nuclear weapon. The same 192-page report also describes the H-20 as a "stealth bomber with flying wings".
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In 2018, China appeared to confirm that its upcoming H-20 stealth bomber would have a flying wing design reminiscent of the US B-2 Spirit. In the video released by the Aviation Industry Corporation of China (AVIC), an aircraft that
Like a flying wing, it sits beneath the canvas in a presentation very similar to Northrop Grumman's SuperBowl ad featuring the upcoming B-21 Raider.
Although the Chinese video does not openly discuss the stealth bomber, it appears to be a deliberate attempt to position the H-20 as China's answer to America's new stealth bomber.
There is very little we can say for sure about China's H-20 stealth bomber at this point, but there are some things we can claim with some degree of confidence. First and foremost, it will almost certainly be a flying wing design similar to the American B-2 Spirit. This offers a number of significant stealth benefits. As we discussed earlier, this approach to stealth design limits the aircraft's return not only to targeting radars using the high-frequency band X or similar, but also to low-frequency early warning radar bands.
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The H-20 is expected to be nuclear capable, firmly building on China's nuclear triad of land-based missiles, submarine-launched ballistic missiles and long-range nuclear strategic bombers. The nuclear triad is usually thought of as a means of providing mutually beneficial destruction, as it limits the enemy's ability to destroy your nuclear arsenal in a single strike.
In a well-researched analysis of the possibility that the H-20 could fly soon by Thomas Newdick for The Warzone, he demonstrated that the stealth bomber could carry an active electronically scanned array (AESA) radar and specialize in deploying long-range munitions. like a subsonic cruise missile via an internal rotary launcher.
The Common Strategic Rotary Launcher is loaded onto a US Air Force B-52 Stratofortress. (US Air Force photo)
If intelligence estimates about the potential range of the H-20 prove correct, the cruise missile could help close the range gap between the H-20 and the B-2. The Pentagon believes the H-20's range is "at least" 5,281 miles, compared to the B-2's nearly 7,000 miles. The continental United States is more than 7,200 miles from the coast of China, and the presence of refueling tankers in the Pacific could potentially warn American defenses of an impending attack. However, long-range, low-visibility nuclear cruise missiles could play a role in China's plans for a reliable means of delivering nuclear weapons from the air that can compensate for ranges.
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China has made rapid progress in modernizing its military equipment, including fielding one stealth fighter and moving towards other assignments. But until recently, China did not appear to have demonstrated the same capacity as the United States to deploy ultra-low visibility platforms.
The J-20, China's current stealth fighter, is believed to have an extremely low radar cross-section (RCS) from the nose, but the aircraft itself is considered to be far more visible than any American stealth fighter. Expert estimates of the J-20's RCS range from 0.5 m2 to 3 m2, compared to the F-22's reported 0.0001 m2 or the F-35's 0.0015 m2. While more difficult to detect than the Russian Su-57 Felon, the J-20's stealth profile is no match for the least detectable fighter of its generation.
And there is little evidence to suggest that China will be able to leapfrog the low observability of the B-2 to compete with the smaller, more stealthy B-21 Raider. In fact, it is reasonable to assume that the H-20 may not be able to offer the same stealth performance as the B-2 itself, as the aircraft benefits from decades of operational experience and upgrades. Although mission planning is not often discussed, it is actually one of the most common
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